Let’s face it: Digital news publishers have little reason to feel optimistic heading into 2018. There’s no shortage of ominous headlines or hot takes from the pundits and media prognosticators who, despite the fact that digital advertising will surpass $90 billion in the U.S. in the coming year, are predicting more pain for publishers.
Only 15 years ago, before the hyper-migration to digital began and a wave of consolidation swept across the print media space, U.S.-based newspapers raked in $67 billion in advertising. As many traditional publishers and newsrooms began to transform their businesses (and continue to do so today), meaningful digital advertising growth proved elusive to most, simultaneously contending with both the fickle demands of the marketplace and having to support an inordinate number of online publishers, platforms, and adtech companies.
Then came along a slew of “digital natives,” backed largely by venture capitalists, and the promise to invent a new publishing model. They stood up modern websites, relied on the social web for content distribution, and chased audiences and advertising businesses that could flourish, free from the shackles of a legacy business. Or so they thought. In reality, what many of these startups succeeded in doing was to launch new media properties, in an already over-crowded space, and produce content the world never needed. If companies like Mic, NowThis News, or even BuzzFeed never existed, would the state of news and journalism in this country look any different?
It’s easy to blame the platform monopolies for publishers’ quandaries, but it’s time to also acknowledge that there are simply too many of us in the digital news space. Digital ad spending continues to soar, but the lion’s share remains hijacked by a handful of companies, and exceedingly, gets vacuumed into the programmatic abyss. But if there’s one silver lining, it’s this: For too long, an excessive number of VC-backed publishers and adtech companies have been able to survive by siphoning off the digital advertising hose. Those days are winding down, however, and 2018 will be a year of reckoning for many. We are already seeing it via reports of missed revenue forecasts, shrinking company valuations, big M&A activity, and of course, pivots!
In today’s digital news economy, either you are a buyer or a seller. It’s time to decide which you are, and act accordingly; getting caught somewhere in between means being dealt a knockout blow, and the VCs won’t pull you off the ropes. 2018 will be all about pivoting towards consolidation, and creating strength-in-numbers alliances. That’s likely a good thing, as it should open up wider lanes for many heritage-based news publishers to maneuver. Those who can look past the headlines and sprint towards the opportunities.
Michael Kuntz is president of advertising sales and brand partnerships for the USA Today Network.
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Steve Grove The midterms are an opportunity
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Rick Berke Value is the watchword
Christopher Meighan Passive partnership is in the rearview
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Joanne McNeil Gatekeeping the gatekeepers
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Sally Lehrman Trust comes first
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Jamie Mottram From pageviews to t-shirts
Niketa Patel Live journalism comes of age
Sarah Marshall Loyalty as the key performance indicator
Mike Caulfield Refactoring media literacy for the networked age
Rubina Madan Fillion Unlocking the potential of AI
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Taylor Lorenz Social and media will split
Dannagal G. Young Stop covering politics as a game
Vanessa K. DeLuca Women’s voices take center stage
Lam Thuy Vo Breaking free from the tyranny of the loudest
Richard Tofel The platforms’ power demands more reporters’ attention
Jesse Holcomb Information disorder, coming to a congressional district near you
Jim Moroney Newspapers have to be good enough for readers to pay for
Sara M. Watson Feeds will open up to new user-determined filters
Kim Fox Audience teams diversify their approach
Pete Brown Push alerts, personalized
Millie Tran and Stine Bauer Dahlberg (Hint: It’s about your brand)
Will Sommer The year local media gets conservative
Pia Frey Address users as individuals
Michelle Garcia Navigating journalistic transparency
Cristina Wilson The year of the Instagram Story
Helen Havlak Keywords, not publishers, power the world’s biggest feeds
Andrew Haeg The year journalists become relationship builders
Tanya Cordrey Finally, the seeds of radical reinvention
Frédéric Filloux External forces
Carlos Martínez de la Serna The new journalism commons
Sydette Harry Listen to your corner and watch for the hook
Jim Brady With the people, not just of the people
Rachel Schallom Better design helps differentiate opinion and news
Ståle Grut Reclaiming audience interaction from social networks
Umbreen Bhatti The trust problem isn’t new
Alastair Coote The year of self-improvement
Nik Usher The year of The Washington Post
Justin Kosslyn The year journalists become digital security experts
Feli Sánchez The year for guerrilla user research
Joyce Barnathan It will be harder to bury the news
Zizi Papacharissi Women come back
Caitria O'Neill The new court of public opinion
Heather Bryant Building the ecosystems for collaboration
Lucas Graves From algorithms to institutions
Sam Ford The year of investing in processes
Jessica Parker Gilbert Design connects storytelling and strategy
Aron Pilhofer We can’t leave the business to the business side any more
Vivian Schiller Pivot to tomorrow
Raney Aronson-Rath Transparency is the antidote to fake news
S. Mitra Kalita The arc of news and audience
Matt Boggie The intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea
José Zamora Revenue-first journalism
Gordon Crovitz Serving readers over advertisers
Carrie Brown Transparency finally takes off
Alice Antheaume Are you fluent in AI?
Edward Roussel Eyes, ears, and brains
David Skok Finding an information-life balance
Jacqui Cheng Retailers move into content
Andrew Ramsammy The year ownership mattered
Jennifer Coogan The future is female
Alan Soon The rise of start of psychographic, micro-targeted media
Imaeyen Ibanga Longform video leads the way
Julia Beizer A longer view on the pivot
Julia B. Chan Looking for loyalty in all the right places
Rodney Gibbs Tech workers turn to journalism
Monika Bauerlein The firehose of falsehood
Michael Kuntz The only pivot that might work
Cindy Royal Your journalism curriculum is obsolete
Charo Henríquez Training is an investment, not an expense
Matt Thompson Here come the attention managers
Emily Goligoski Looking beyond news for inspiration
Dan Shanoff You down with OTT? (Yeah, DTC)
Matt DeRienzo A recession, then a collapse
Doris Truong Computer vision vs. the Internet vigilantes
Raju Narisetti Mirror, mirror on the wall
Sam Sanders Shine the light on ourselves
Eric Nuzum Beyond the narrative arc
Amie Ferris-Rotman More female reporters abroad (please)
Renée Kaplan The year of quiet adjustments (shhh)
Laura E. Davis Writing answers before you know the question
Nicholas Diakopoulos Fortifying social media from automated inauthenticity
Juliette De Maeyer A responsible press criticism
Ray Soto VR reaches the next level
Andrew Losowsky The year of resilience
Valérie Bélair-Gagnon Seeking trust in fragmented spaces
Federica Cherubini The rise of bridge roles in news organizations
Borja Echevarría TV goes digital, digital goes TV
Cory Haik Suffering from realness, pivoting to impact
Elizabeth Jensen Show your work
Jennifer Choi Standing up for us and for each other
Mariano Blejman News games rule
Susie Banikarim R.I.P. Pivot to Video (2017–2017)
Marie Gilot No assholes allowed
Ruth Palmer Risks will grow for news subjects — especially minorities
Luke O'Neil The end is already here
Dheerja Kaur Fun with subscription products
Pablo Boczkowski The rise of skeptical reading
Mary Walter-Brown Show a little vulnerability
Jared Newman Venture funding and digital news don’t mix
Alexios Mantzarlis Moving fake news research out of the lab
Evie Nagy Pivot to mobile video frustration
Bill Keller A growing turn to philanthropy
Jassim Ahmad Thriving on change
Trushar Barot The Jio-fication of India
Marcela Donini and Thiago Herdy Collaboration is the way forward for Brazilian journalism
Monique Judge Letting black women tell their own stories
Kawandeep Virdee Zines had it right all along
Corey Ford The empire strikes back
Hannah Cassius The year of the echo-chamber escapists
Nicholas Quah Stop talking trash about young people
Mary Meehan Real lives are at stake in rural areas
Tamar Charney We get serious about algorithms
P. Kim Bui The reckoning is only beginning
Rachel Davis Mersey AI, with real smarts
Corey Johnson The pro-fact resistance
Mi-Ai Parrish Blockchain and trust
Matt Carlson Attacks on the press will get worse
Jarrod Dicker Honesty in advertising
Emma Carew Grovum Newsroom culture becomes a priority
Felix Salmon Covering bitcoin while owning bitcoin
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Damon Krukowski Reviving the alt-weekly soul
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Michelle Ferrier The year of the great reckoning
Tim Carmody Watch out for Spotify