The rich get richer, the poor scramble

“The truth is, in 2018 and beyond, it’s only going to be more expensive to maintain a successful news website. That will lead to further inequality between big and small news organizations. The big will become bigger, and the ones that are smaller, well, they will have to scramble for audience.”

For the past year, we have seen flurries of reports about the successes of some traditional newspapers in the digital marketplace. The New York Times hits 3 million total subscribers! The Washington Post is actually hiring people! That is great, but the success of big players in journalism can actually hide how small players are not going to be able to keep up. The truth is, in 2018 and beyond, it’s only going to be more expensive to maintain a successful news website. That will lead to further inequality between big and small news organizations. The big will become bigger, and the ones that are smaller, well, they will have to scramble for audience.

It wasn’t supposed to be that way. The internet, after all, would be the domain of the long tail: those smaller websites that can still find their niche audience and be competitive, even if there are few really big players. But in 2018 and beyond, acquiring and keeping an audience is going to take more tech expertise and all-around firepower.

The Post and the Times are buoyed by their top-notch investigative journalism in the age of Trump, smart collaborations with tech, and positive brand recognition (let’s not forget the high-profile movie out this month). But aside from that, there are underlying reasons for sustained success among the big newspapers. Their economic dominance is key in a market that requires more and more advanced tools to grow and retain audience in our algorithmically-defined age.

The Post is already using predictive algorithms and data analysis to determine which stories will be more successful. The Times has announced 2018 will be the “Year of the Audience” (notice: not “the public,” not “the readers,” but “the audience”), with more specialized top-level leadership that will devote themselves to metrics and strategize how to “best compete for [the audience’s] time and attention.”

What about smaller, local newspapers? Well, first, most of them are not in D.C., covering the big, flashy beat, the Trump White House. Secondly, their smaller scale is not enough to convert into the richness of resources to make great reporting investments, design better webpages, and hire the talent that allows websites to stay on top of social media and search results.

All this adds up to the fact that smaller, less popular newsrooms have a tricky task ahead of them. And it can mean that the further concentration of news organizations is unavoidable. In this darkest timeline, the admission price of the news business is just too expensive for the little guys.

Sure, it’s great that we have journalism behemoths out there, doing their amazing work. But think of all the news that wouldn’t be covered or the perspectives that would be lost if all the smaller newsrooms went away.

Daniel Trielli is a journalist and Ph.D. student in media, technology, and society at Northwestern University.

Renée Kaplan   The year of quiet adjustments (shhh)

Matt Carlson   Attacks on the press will get worse

Christopher Meighan   Passive partnership is in the rearview

Eric Nuzum   Beyond the narrative arc

Usha Sahay   Wallets get opened

Adam Thomas   Sharing is caring: The year of the mentor

Rachel Schallom   Better design helps differentiate opinion and news

Ray Soto   VR reaches the next level

Pablo Boczkowski   The rise of skeptical reading

Ruth Palmer   Risks will grow for news subjects — especially minorities

Sydette Harry   Listen to your corner and watch for the hook

Mi-Ai Parrish   Blockchain and trust

Jim Moroney   Newspapers have to be good enough for readers to pay for

S. Mitra Kalita   The arc of news and audience

Heather Bryant   Building the ecosystems for collaboration

Trushar Barot   The Jio-fication of India

Dan Newman   A return to trust

Jassim Ahmad   Thriving on change

Tanzina Vega   It’s time for media companies to #PassTheMic

Vanessa K. DeLuca   Women’s voices take center stage

Jacqui Cheng   Retailers move into content

Alice Antheaume   Are you fluent in AI?

Rachel Davis Mersey   AI, with real smarts

Nicholas Quah   Stop talking trash about young people

Andrew Ramsammy   The year ownership mattered

Amy King   Let’s amplify visual voice

Rodney Benson   Better, less read, and less trusted

Dan Shanoff   You down with OTT? (Yeah, DTC)

Jennifer Coogan   The future is female

Sue Schardt   Jump the niche

John Keefe   Scooped by AI

Will Sommer   The year local media gets conservative

Gordon Crovitz   Serving readers over advertisers

Raney Aronson-Rath   Transparency is the antidote to fake news

Feli Sánchez   The year for guerrilla user research

Nathalie Malinarich   Peak push

Caitlin Thompson   Podcasting models mature and diversify

Pia Frey   Address users as individuals

Lam Thuy Vo   Breaking free from the tyranny of the loudest

C.W. Anderson   The social media apocalypse

Kathleen McElroy   Building a news video experience native to mobile

Mandy Velez   texting is lit rn, fam

Carlos Martínez de la Serna   The new journalism commons

Debra Adams Simmons   And a woman shall lead them

Michelle Garcia   Navigating journalistic transparency

Mariana Moura Santos   Think local, act global

Kinsey Wilson   Facebook and Google: Help out or pay up

Andrew Losowsky   The year of resilience

Alastair Coote   The year of self-improvement

Lucas Graves   From algorithms to institutions

Manoush Zomorodi   Self-help as a publishing strategy

Cindy Royal   Your journalism curriculum is obsolete

Francesco Marconi   The year of machine-to-machine journalism

Evie Nagy   Pivot to mobile video frustration

Richard Tofel   The platforms’ power demands more reporters’ attention

Juliette De Maeyer   A responsible press criticism

Matt Thompson   Here come the attention managers

Tracie Powell   The muting of underserved voices

Steve Grove   The midterms are an opportunity

Susie Banikarim   R.I.P. Pivot to Video (2017–2017)

Joanne McNeil   Gatekeeping the gatekeepers

Matt DeRienzo   A recession, then a collapse

Jake Levine   The return to now

P. Kim Bui   The reckoning is only beginning

Mary Walter-Brown   Show a little vulnerability

Brian Lam   Sketchy ethics around product reviews

Federica Cherubini   The rise of bridge roles in news organizations

Jessica Parker Gilbert   Design connects storytelling and strategy

Jennifer Choi   Standing up for us and for each other

Jarrod Dicker   Honesty in advertising

Cristina Wilson   The year of the Instagram Story

Zizi Papacharissi   Women come back

Raju Narisetti   Mirror, mirror on the wall

Mary Meehan   Real lives are at stake in rural areas

Corey Ford   The empire strikes back

Rodney Gibbs   Tech workers turn to journalism

Alexios Mantzarlis   Moving fake news research out of the lab

Dheerja Kaur   Fun with subscription products

Almar Latour   Conquering calm

Ariana Tobin   Too tired to tap

Jamie Mottram   From pageviews to t-shirts

Marcela Donini and Thiago Herdy   Collaboration is the way forward for Brazilian journalism

Miguel Castro   The arrival of the impact producer

Sara M. Watson   Feeds will open up to new user-determined filters

Joanne Lipman   Journalists inventing revenue streams

Rasmus Kleis Nielsen   The Snapchat scenario and the risk of more closed platforms

Sam Sanders   Shine the light on ourselves

Jennifer Brandel and Mónica Guzmán   The editorial meeting of the future

Edward Roussel   Eyes, ears, and brains

Craig Newmark   Working together toward sustainable solutions

Pete Brown   Push alerts, personalized

Mario García   Storytelling finally adapts to mobile

Amie Ferris-Rotman   More female reporters abroad (please)

Vivian Schiller   Pivot to tomorrow

Caitria O'Neill   The new court of public opinion

Niketa Patel   Live journalism comes of age

Paul Ford   Go global

Doris Truong   Computer vision vs. the Internet vigilantes

AX Mina   Memes and visuals come to the fore

Cory Haik   Suffering from realness, pivoting to impact

Dannagal G. Young   Stop covering politics as a game

Carrie Brown-Smith   Transparency finally takes off

Julia Beizer   A longer view on the pivot

Luke O'Neil   The end is already here

Ståle Grut   Reclaiming audience interaction from social networks

Frédéric Filloux   External forces

Michelle Ferrier   The year of the great reckoning

Kawandeep Virdee   Zines had it right all along

Matt Boggie   The intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea

Imaeyen Ibanga   Longform video leads the way

Elizabeth Jensen   Show your work

Tanya Cordrey   Finally, the seeds of radical reinvention

Sarah Marshall   Loyalty as the key performance indicator

Valérie Bélair-Gagnon   Seeking trust in fragmented spaces

Corey Johnson   The pro-fact resistance

Joyce Barnathan   It will be harder to bury the news

Tamar Charney   We get serious about algorithms

Felix Salmon   Covering bitcoin while owning bitcoin

Jim Brady   With the people, not just of the people

Monika Bauerlein   The firehose of falsehood

Nancy Watzman   Know thy TV

Monique Judge   Letting black women tell their own stories

Emily Goligoski   Looking beyond news for inspiration

Rick Berke   Value is the watchword

Nicholas Diakopoulos   Fortifying social media from automated inauthenticity

Marie Gilot   No assholes allowed

Hannah Cassius   The year of the echo-chamber escapists

Sam Ford   The year of investing in processes

Basile Simon   We need better career paths for news nerds

Kim Fox   Audience teams diversify their approach

Andrew Haeg   The year journalists become relationship builders

Claire Wardle   Disinformation gets worse

Emma Carew Grovum   Newsroom culture becomes a priority

Ernst-Jan Pfauth   Publishing less to give readers more

Kyle Ellis   Let’s build our way out of this

Justin Kosslyn   The year journalists become digital security experts

Taylor Lorenz   Social and media will split

Aron Pilhofer   We can’t leave the business to the business side any more

Molly de Aguiar   Good journalism won’t be enough

Laura E. Davis   Writing answers before you know the question

Charo Henríquez   Training is an investment, not an expense

Daniel Trielli   The rich get richer, the poor scramble

Alfred Hermida   Going beyond mobile-first

Yvonne Leow   The rise of video messaging

Hossein Derakhshan   Television has won

Tim Carmody   Watch out for Spotify

Kristen Muller   The year of the voter

Jared Newman   Venture funding and digital news don’t mix

Jesse Holcomb   Information disorder, coming to a congressional district near you

Michael Kuntz   The only pivot that might work

Helen Havlak   Keywords, not publishers, power the world’s biggest feeds

Errin Haines   At the ballot, it’s time to count black women

Borja Echevarría   TV goes digital, digital goes TV

Mira Lowe   The year of the local watchdog

Sally Lehrman   Trust comes first

José Zamora   Revenue-first journalism

Umbreen Bhatti   The trust problem isn’t new

Nikki Usher   The year of The Washington Post

Juleyka Lantigua   Women of color will reclaim and monetize our time

Neha Gandhi   Filler killers

Nushin Rashidian   Publishers seek ad dollar alternatives

Julia B. Chan   Looking for loyalty in all the right places

Mariano Blejman   News games rule

Bill Keller   A growing turn to philanthropy

Rubina Madan Fillion   Unlocking the potential of AI

Burt Herman   Things get real

Lanre Akinola   Making noise is not a strategy

Betsy O'Donovan and Melody Kramer   Skepticism and narcissism

Alan Soon   The rise of start of psychographic, micro-targeted media

Kelsey Proud   No, no, no

Damon Krukowski   Reviving the alt-weekly soul

Millie Tran and Stine Bauer Dahlberg   (Hint: It’s about your brand)

Eric Ulken   The year local publishers get smart(er) about change

David Skok   Finding an information-life balance

Mike Caulfield   Refactoring media literacy for the networked age

Amy Webb   Listen to weak signals