Predictions feel like an odd thing to do, especially when the forecast is greyer and gloomier than the current climate. Nonetheless, I will attempt to provide a prediction about the future of news and journalism in the U.S. and U.K. in 2019. I’ve often been accused of trading in gloom and doom, so in keeping with my reputation as a doom and gloom merchant, 2019 is going to be a struggle for media organizations in both countries.
The one factor tying all of these predictions together is the contraction of democratic space and the political rollercoaster the past few years have been. In one of my favorite tracks (“The Matrimony”) by Wale, Jerry Seinfeld talks of life as a rollercoaster and once you’re at the top, all you can do is scream as you rapidly descend. Partly because you’re not ready for it, and partly because there’s no way to adequately prepare for the drop.
I think the end of 2018 is the top of the rollercoaster track. The descent, which we are not ready for, is going to involve a lot of screaming as we hurtle towards Brexit in 2019 and the 2020 U.S. elections.
Within the traditional media space, we can see the speed with which news and journalism have been co-opted by the state in recent years. In the U.S., after two years of covering the new political dispensation, news organizations have shown breathtaking naiveté in how to approach their new reality. From the constant coverage of every new controversial tweet to Jim Acosta’s banishment from the White House Briefing Room, journalism in the U.S. has continually shown its level of maladroitness in covering an administration that is both hostile to its very existence and adept at manipulating it into covering manufactured crises. In the U.K., we have seen news organizations struggle in their coverage of both Brexit and Facebook’s nefarious activities. One only needs to look at the fascinating work by Carole Cadwalladr (and her twitter timeline, @carolecadwalla) to see how much trouble audiences in the U.K. are in. As the BBC, much like The New York Times, insists on presenting fringe racist and fascist ideas as “worth debating,” we see the expansion of fringe right-wing, racist, sexist, fascist echo chambers into organizations once revered as trustworthy, objective, and models for others to emulate. What we have seen is a steady weaponization of what Whitney Phillips calls “both sides-ism” by savvy fringe voices. In this moment of political crises in both countries, organizations have found themselves either scrambling to make sense of the world using approaches completely not suitable for the current reality or becoming too deferential to the state.
This is only going to get worse in 2019. Lies and factual inaccuracies will be presented as legitimate voices from “the other side.” One only need to look at climate change coverage in both countries, or even the rise of ignoble characters like Richard Spencer and Milo Yiannopoulos (in the U.S.) and Tommy Robinson (in the U.K.). Superfluous nods to “objectivity” will continue to be manipulated by the fringes to make sure they have a voice in legacy media. But perhaps the most disheartening thing will be the fact that the state, in both countries, will continue to use its privileged space in the media ecology to manipulate the narrative construction.
Unless journalists decide to take a stand and rethink the current status quo, 2019 will be darker and gloomier. If you think 2018 was bad, my advice for 2019 is to buckle up, because it’s going to be even bumpier. To audiences, my advice is the maxim caveat emptor. The daily deluge of panic-driven, vacuous, news coverage is about to shift into high gear.
james Wahutu is a fellow at the Berkman Klein Center for Internet and Society at Harvard and will be an assistant professor at NYU in 2019.
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Carrie Brown Advocating a healthy civic life is no journalistic crime
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Matt Waite “I went to Node.js because I wished to live deliberately”
Jonathan Gill Publishers build a common tech platform together
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Greg Emerson Power to the user
Talia Stroud Engaging people across lines of difference
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Tim Carmody Unlocking the commons
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John Saroff The pivot to reader revenue’s unintended consequences
Logan Molyneux Seeing social media for what it is
Jeff Chin We detox from Chartbeat
Mike Caulfield Ditch the media literacy cynicism and get to work
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Eric Nuzum The year of the DIY podcast network
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Simon Galperin After capitalism’s fire, journalism’s secondary succession
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Carl Bialik Fatigued news consumers will pay more for less news
Eric Ulken The year you actually start to like your CMS
Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau A more sincere definition of “community”
Michael Rain The year of the culturally relevant curator
Cindy Royal For journalism curriculum to change, its faculty needs disruption
Justin Kosslyn Text hits a tipping point
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Jonas Kaiser Catching up with “Neuland”
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Francesco Marconi The year of iterative journalism
Ole Reißmann The rise of vertical storytelling
Patrick Butler Measuring impact will increase audience trust
Nico Gendron Reaching Generation Z beyond the coasts
Pia Frey You can’t solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis
Adam Smith Platforms will have to help rebuild trust in news
Rodney Gibbs A bright — and young — year for audio
Jesse Holcomb We’ll get better at making the case for local journalism
Johannes Klingebiel We all grow hooves
Axie Navas The traffic hunt, CMS battle, and magazine identity crises loom
Mario García The rise of content “pilots”
Rick Berke The year of loyalty
Jake Shapiro Podcasting is media’s slow food movement
Frank Mungeam Tonight at 11: News, sports, and climate change
Victor Pickard We will finally confront systemic market failure
Rachel Davis Mersey Local news goes minimalist
Salem Solomon Correcting our corrections
Mat Yurow Content competition from the tech companies
Shannon McGregor More bogus embedded tweets in our stories
Renan Borelli Developing loyalty means developing your talent
Mariana Moura Santos From pageviews to impact
Matthew Pressman The battle over objectivity intensifies
Jeremy Gilbert AI finally becomes helpful
Stefanie Murray Local news wakes up and starts collaborating
Jennifer Dargan You don’t build diversity through one-off training sessions
Francesco Zaffarano Towards a rethinking of journalism on social media
Amy King We should listen to the kids (especially on Instagram)
Marie Shanahan Newsrooms take the comments sections back from platforms
Jesse Brown Canada’s subsidy for news backfires
Rebecca Searles From silos to Swiss Army knife teams
Umbreen Bhatti The story doesn’t end for the people we quote
Tamar Charney Seriously: What do you do for people?
Manoush Zomorodi Tech will do for information overload what it did for mindfulness
Joe Amditis Give the audience a seat at the table
Libby Bawcombe Haikus of the news
Zainab Khan Publishers whose products can stand up to social media giants will win
Sarah Marshall A return to destination journalism
Jenée Desmond-Harris It finally sinks in that some people aren’t white
Ariel Zirulnick Participation gets professional
Tyler Fisher This is journalism’s do-or-die moment
Ernie Smith The year we step back from the platform
Craig Newmark The end of “loudspeakers for liars”
Geetika Rudra The year of actionable (local) journalism
Meredith Artley Huge demand for…anything but politics
Nicholas Jackson More transparency around newsroom decisions
Gabriel Snyder Journalism doesn’t fit well in a funnel
Elva Ramirez News — but make it cinematic
Mike Isaac The old exit doors for digital media companies are closing
Moreno Cruz Osório Damaged credibility and a new threat in Brazil
Alberto Cairo A year of uncertainty and confidence
Elizabeth Jensen Going where the Acela can’t take you
Jack Riley Facebook refugees, from ad revenue to news habits
Josh Schwartz A pullback from platforms and a focus on product
Cory Bergman Journalism as a technology service
Errin Haines Say it with me: Racism
Candis Callison Learn from Indigenous journalists on covering climate change
Heather Bryant We are responsible for how we use our power
Winny de Jong Data journalism goes undercover
Matt Skibinski Quality and reliability are the new currencies for publishers
Joshua P. Darr The nationalization of political news will accelerate
Alexandra Borchardt Newsrooms need to build trust with their journalists, not just the audience
Robin Kwong Tech shouldn’t be the only field pollinating “news nerds”
Celeste LeCompte Local news needs local conversation to survive
Jean Friedman Rudovsky Cross-newsroom collaborations strengthen communities
Nisha Chittal The homepage makes a comeback
Sue Cross Return of the water cooler
John Garrett You can’t raise prices forever
Jim Friedlich Meet Citizen Kane 2.0
Rishad Patel A design system for responsible publishing
Millie Tran There is no magic — you’ve got this
Jared Newman AI-generated fakes launch a software arms race
Thomas Hanitzsch The rise of tribal journalism
Darryl Holliday Let’s talk about power (yours)
Taylor Lorenz Personal branding is more powerful than ever
Seema Yasmin We will create our own spaces
Laura E. Davis More access, but not that kind
Renée Kaplan Our future could lie within our own organizations
Rebecca Lee Sanchez We are all actors in the running rampant of political theater
Carolina Guerrero Spanish-language audio blows up
Rachel Glickhouse Newsrooms will prioritize audience needs
Soo Oh Just showing our work isn’t enough
Dave Burdick Seeing our blind spots
Angèle Christin Algorithms and the reflexive turn
Joel Konopo Influencers become the new liberated power in Africa
Angilee Shah The year news orgs say “yes” to real leaders
Claire Wardle Forget deepfakes: Misinformation is showing up in our most personal online spaces
Nik Usher Three ways national media will further undermine trust
P. Kim Bui The misfits become the bosses
Sarah Stonbely Mapping the local news ecosystem — with scale but detail
Kawandeep Virdee Media wants to take care of you
Michael Grant More newsrooms experiment their way to success
Ben Werdmuller The platform tide is turning
Shalabh Upadhyay A culture clash on India’s growing Internet
Almar Latour Reported facts, weaponized in service of action
Jonathan Stray More algorithmic accountability reporting, and a lot of it will be meh
Elizabeth Dunbar Local reporters reflect on what’s not important
Peter Cunliffe-Jones The focus of misinformation debates shifts south
Julie Posetti The year of the fight back
Chase Davis We can acknowledge what we don’t know
Alexis Lloyd & Matt Boggie The year product leads media
Pablo Boczkowski Reimagining the media for post-institutional times
Sue Robinson Reporters go on the offensive
Whitney Phillips Our information systems aren’t broken — they’re working as intended
Bill Grueskin Toward a symphony model for local news
Peter Bale Venture capital runs out of patience
J. Siguru Wahutu Think 2018 was bad? Wait until you see 2019
Alexandra Svokos Good luck convincing us millennials to pay
Julia Rubin Meeting people where they are
Andrew Donohue Voting rights becomes the new climate change
A.J. Bauer The coming splintering of conservative media
Elisabeth Goodridge Yes, they signed up — but our job’s not over
Bill Adair Another year fighting Trump’s falsehoods
Brian Moritz The subscription-pocalypse is about to hit
John Biewen Podcasts keep getting better
Raney Aronson-Rath We learn “digital” doesn’t have to mean “short”
Tushar Banerjee Interactive ads will be the new face of display advertising
Kyra Darnton A shift to depth in video
Adam Thomas In Europe, foundations invest in news
Efrat Nechushtai Journalism wants to be your friend, not your teacher
Reyhan Harmanci Selling more stories to Hollywood
Ben Smith The pendulum starts to swing back
Kevin D. Grant A year to embrace journalism as public service
Steve Henn Smart speakers get smarter
Adam B. Ellick Video forensic reporting goes mainstream — and local
Dan Shanoff Bet on sports gambling