2019 called and said it wants to pivot to 2040. It complained that everyone is so terribly pessimistic these days. “No one wants to work like this,” 2019 said.
I said nothing and thought about how to get out of this conversation, because I had work to do — I was past my deadline for this Nieman Lab prediction.
2019 paused. “But maybe I should pivot to the 3000s instead,” it said. “Why?” I said, instantly knowing I shouldn’t have asked. I wanted to write about how the publishing world will successfully enter the relationship economy in the coming year. I really had no time to think about the 3000s.
“Well, thinking about it, 2040 looks like it will be much worse,” 2019 interrupted my thoughts. “It’s getting hot in here, and I’m not talking about a successful upward curve in subscription revenues. In the words of your kind of people, the planet will have a very, very bad user experience. If you keep heating it up as you do, at 4 percent or so, a genocide is coming. Hundreds of millions of people will die. Dozens of cities will be drowned. Global GDP will be cut by 30 percent, 13 percent in an unlikely best case scenario. The wildfires from 2018 are a joke compared to the devastation the U.S. should expect. There will be food crises, floods, droughts, deaths…” — I hung up.
Having listened to 2019, it can be the year where the alarm bells ring in the broader public. The press will act as the moderator in the panic, advising people what they can do beyond not using plastic straws while there’s still time to act. They will cross the lines between journalism, campaigning, and activism, because there is no chance to solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis. They’ll become much more creative in covering climate change and go deep into direct audience engagement. Publishers who have been thinking about how to reach younger audiences will discover that putting atop their editorial agenda a topic that matters beyond anything to young audiences is a very effective way to reach them.
I called 2019 back and said it shouldn’t pivot to anything, just turn up in time, because it could become a year where the publishing world takes action — and for that, 2040 will be very grateful.
Cindy Royal For journalism curriculum to change, its faculty needs disruption
Amy Schmitz Weiss Local news isn’t where you thought it was
Masuma Ahuja Make foreign coverage less foreign
Simon Rogers Data journalism becomes a global field
Meredith Artley Huge demand for…anything but politics
Almar Latour Reported facts, weaponized in service of action
Heather Chaplin Agree we’re partisan — for the democratic system
Elizabeth Dunbar Local reporters reflect on what’s not important
Francesco Marconi The year of iterative journalism
Dan Shanoff Bet on sports gambling
Adam Thomas In Europe, foundations invest in news
Raney Aronson-Rath We learn “digital” doesn’t have to mean “short”
Claire Wardle Forget deepfakes: Misinformation is showing up in our most personal online spaces
Renée Kaplan Our future could lie within our own organizations
Logan Molyneux Seeing social media for what it is
Robin Kwong Tech shouldn’t be the only field pollinating “news nerds”
Ernst-Jan Pfauth Readers are only getting started
Joel Konopo Influencers become the new liberated power in Africa
Jean Friedman Rudovsky Cross-newsroom collaborations strengthen communities
Jack Riley Facebook refugees, from ad revenue to news habits
Christa Scharfenberg and Vickie Baranetsky The year of the lawsuit
AX Mina The death of consensus, not the death of truth
Kristen Muller Local news fails — in a good way
Celeste LeCompte Local news needs local conversation to survive
Seema Yasmin We will create our own spaces
Bill Grueskin Toward a symphony model for local news
Nisha Chittal The homepage makes a comeback
Tamar Charney Seriously: What do you do for people?
Jonathan Gill Publishers build a common tech platform together
Kelsey Proud Journalism becomes the escape
Alberto Cairo A year of uncertainty and confidence
Taylor Lorenz Personal branding is more powerful than ever
Sarah Stonbely Mapping the local news ecosystem — with scale but detail
Matthew Pressman The battle over objectivity intensifies
Ruth Palmer and Benjamin Toff From news fatigue to news avoidance
Stefanie Murray Local news wakes up and starts collaborating
Angilee Shah The year news orgs say “yes” to real leaders
Rick Berke The year of loyalty
Carrie Brown-Smith Advocating a healthy civic life is no journalistic crime
Peter Cunliffe-Jones The focus of misinformation debates shifts south
Becca Aaronson From bridge roles to product thinkers
Knight Foundation A year of local collaboration
Rachel Davis Mersey Local news goes minimalist
Millie Tran There is no magic — you’ve got this
Alyssa Zeisler We expand what (and how and who) we serve
Sarah Alvarez Simplify and redistribute
Soo Oh Just showing our work isn’t enough
Errin Haines Say it with me: Racism
Steve Henn Smart speakers get smarter
Salem Solomon Correcting our corrections
Tim Carmody Unlocking the commons
Joe Amditis Give the audience a seat at the table
Catalina Albeanu Being responsible for what we don’t know
Zizi Papacharissi Old interface, say hello to the new interface
Tyler Fisher This is journalism’s do-or-die moment
Andrew Ramsammy The great re-pivot to audio
Julia Rubin Meeting people where they are
Andrea Faye Hart Doing less harm, not just more good
Jennifer Dargan You don’t build diversity through one-off training sessions
Kate Myers Journalism continues to be bad for democracy
Brian Moritz The subscription-pocalypse is about to hit
Borja Bergareche Sainz de los Terreros Entering a more balanced era
Don Day Timewalls and other reader revenue experiments
Jesse Holcomb We’ll get better at making the case for local journalism
Julie Posetti The year of the fight back
Elite Truong What do we owe the next generation?
Sue Cross Return of the water cooler
Hossein Derakhshan The news is dying, but journalism will not — and should not
Simon Galperin After capitalism’s fire, journalism’s secondary succession
Cherian George Fake news wins in Asia
Gideon Lichfield Goodbye attention economy, we’ll miss you
Shalabh Upadhyay A culture clash on India’s growing Internet
Glyn Mottershead and Martin Chorley When a tech company pulls the plug on your story
Kainaz Amaria We consider who’s behind the camera
Axie Navas The traffic hunt, CMS battle, and magazine identity crises loom
Dave Burdick Seeing our blind spots
Elizabeth Jensen Going where the Acela can’t take you
Steve Grove A reckoning for tech’s work with news
Adam B. Ellick Video forensic reporting goes mainstream — and local
Angèle Christin Algorithms and the reflexive turn
Rebecca Lee Sanchez We are all actors in the running rampant of political theater
Cristi Hegranes A year to invest in the security of local journalists
Umbreen Bhatti The story doesn’t end for the people we quote
Tushar Banerjee Interactive ads will be the new face of display advertising
Jeff Chin We detox from Chartbeat
Rasmus Kleis Nielsen A long, slow slog, with no one coming to the rescue
Emma Carew Grovum The year of the loyal reader
Sue Robinson Reporters go on the offensive
Steve Myers From trying to cover it all to covering what matters
Peter Bale Venture capital runs out of patience
Charo Henríquez Pivot to journalism
Jared Newman AI-generated fakes launch a software arms race
Ben Smith The pendulum starts to swing back
Patrick Butler Measuring impact will increase audience trust
Kawandeep Virdee Media wants to take care of you
A.J. Bauer The coming splintering of conservative media
Winny de Jong Data journalism goes undercover
Seth C. Lewis The gap between journalism and research is too wide
Mat Yurow Content competition from the tech companies
Mariana Moura Santos From pageviews to impact
Ben Werdmuller The platform tide is turning
Rodney Gibbs A bright — and young — year for audio
Amy King We should listen to the kids (especially on Instagram)
LaToya Drake Listen up: New stories, new storytellers
Laura E. Davis More access, but not that kind
Mandy Jenkins Fight the urge to run away from social media
Victor Pickard We will finally confront systemic market failure
Frank Mungeam Tonight at 11: News, sports, and climate change
Manoush Zomorodi Tech will do for information overload what it did for mindfulness
Ståle Grut A new dawn for 3D tech in journalism
Nico Gendron Reaching Generation Z beyond the coasts
Callie Schweitzer The rise of the conveners
Tshepo Tshabalala Ahead of African elections, unlock partnerships with fact-checkers
Joshua P. Darr The nationalization of political news will accelerate
J. Siguru Wahutu Think 2018 was bad? Wait until you see 2019
Rebecca Searles From silos to Swiss Army knife teams
Ole Reißmann The rise of vertical storytelling
Nathalie Malinarich Video — yes, video
Carolina Guerrero Spanish-language audio blows up
Mike Rispoli and Craig Aaron Government funds local news — and that’s a good thing
Geetika Rudra The year of actionable (local) journalism
Sarah Marshall A return to destination journalism
Michael Grant More newsrooms experiment their way to success
Zainab Khan Publishers whose products can stand up to social media giants will win
Monique Judge Committing to the truth, calling out lies
Eric Ulken The year you actually start to like your CMS
Matt Waite “I went to Node.js because I wished to live deliberately”
Betsy O'Donovan and Melody Kramer The most beautiful sentence in 2019 is “No.”
Joanne McNeil Building a digital hospice
Jonas Kaiser Catching up with “Neuland”
Alexandra Svokos Good luck convincing us millennials to pay
Nicholas Jackson More transparency around newsroom decisions
Annie Rudd A more intimate aesthetic of politics — on Insta
Moreno Cruz Osório Damaged credibility and a new threat in Brazil
Francesco Zaffarano Towards a rethinking of journalism on social media
Matt Karolian Publishers come to terms with being Facebook’s enablers
Jesse Brown Canada’s subsidy for news backfires
Lauren Katz Community becomes a core newsroom value
Thomas Hanitzsch The rise of tribal journalism
Rubina Madan Fillion Fighting the reality of deepfakes
Kyra Darnton A shift to depth in video
Adam Smith Platforms will have to help rebuild trust in news
Rachel Glickhouse Newsrooms will prioritize audience needs
Craig Newmark The end of “loudspeakers for liars”
Robert Hernandez Racists and sexists get replaced
Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau A more sincere definition of “community”
Reyhan Harmanci Selling more stories to Hollywood
Mike Isaac The old exit doors for digital media companies are closing
Talia Stroud Engaging people across lines of difference
Jonathan Stray More algorithmic accountability reporting, and a lot of it will be meh
Mario García The rise of content “pilots”
Heba Aly The rise of international nonprofit news
Darryl Holliday Let’s talk about power (yours)
Frank Chimero Leave the phone at home and put news on your wrist
Linda Solomon Wood The year of the climate reporter
P. Kim Bui The misfits become the bosses
Pablo Boczkowski Reimagining the media for post-institutional times
Bill Adair Another year fighting Trump’s falsehoods
Carl Bialik Fatigued news consumers will pay more for less news
Marie Shanahan Newsrooms take the comments sections back from platforms
Heather Bryant We are responsible for how we use our power
Jeremy Gilbert AI finally becomes helpful
Mike Caulfield Ditch the media literacy cynicism and get to work
Stephanie Edgerly It’s time to understand the un-audience
Gabriel Snyder Journalism doesn’t fit well in a funnel
Chase Davis We can acknowledge what we don’t know
Rishad Patel A design system for responsible publishing
Dheerja Kaur A focus on problems, not platforms
Josh Schwartz A pullback from platforms and a focus on product
John Biewen Podcasts keep getting better
Justin Kosslyn Text hits a tipping point
Kevin D. Grant A year to embrace journalism as public service
Jenée Desmond-Harris It finally sinks in that some people aren’t white
Eric Nuzum The year of the DIY podcast network
Ariel Zirulnick Participation gets professional
Whitney Phillips Our information systems aren’t broken — they’re working as intended
M. Scott Havens Time to swing for the fences
Cory Bergman Journalism as a technology service
Candis Callison Learn from Indigenous journalists on covering climate change
Shannon McGregor More bogus embedded tweets in our stories
John Saroff The pivot to reader revenue’s unintended consequences
Colleen Shalby Representation becomes more than a talking point
Alexandra Borchardt Newsrooms need to build trust with their journalists, not just the audience
Zuzanna Ziomecka News leadership gets an overdue upgrade
Elisabeth Goodridge Yes, they signed up — but our job’s not over
Jim Friedlich Meet Citizen Kane 2.0
Greg Emerson Power to the user
Alexis Lloyd & Matt Boggie The year product leads media
Pia Frey You can’t solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis
Michael Rain The year of the culturally relevant curator
John Garrett You can’t raise prices forever
Jake Shapiro Podcasting is media’s slow food movement
Ernie Smith The year we step back from the platform
Nikki Usher Three ways national media will further undermine trust
Juleyka Lantigua Podcasting battles East Coast bias
Johannes Klingebiel We all grow hooves
Matt Skibinski Quality and reliability are the new currencies for publishers
Kjerstin Thorson Time to get mad about information inequality (again)
Elva Ramirez News — but make it cinematic
Andrew Donohue Voting rights becomes the new climate change
Mandy Velez Putting the social back in social media
Renan Borelli Developing loyalty means developing your talent
Libby Bawcombe Haikus of the news
Efrat Nechushtai Journalism wants to be your friend, not your teacher