Dream bigger or lose out

“We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world.”

I made my first one of these predictions five years ago, and I’m sorry to say I pulled my punch back then.

When asked what I wanted to see in 2019, I wrote that I wanted those of us working in news to focus on the needs of our communities and redistribute our power. It’s a good practice, but even then it was far too weak of an ask. It’s certainly not enough now.

I didn’t hope back then for much more than a little change around the edges of the news industry. I was running a two-person local news project with a completely inadequate budget, and I was overly preoccupied by everyone else’s relative strengths. But budget size is not everything. In the past few years, so many local reporters have worked themselves to unprecedented levels of burnout, only to be laid off or have their newsrooms shuttered anyway. Outside of the success and growth of a few national brands like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, the for-profit giants of the past are failing too quickly and completely for the idea of a “news industry” to be anything but nostalgia.

In the years since that first prediction, many of us who work in local news have lost patience with looking backwards and are working instead to envision and help build healthy and resilient local civic information infrastructure. We are so far out of the gate that, regardless what anyone predicts on these pages or anywhere else, a more networked, more responsive, more representative, more resilient and less profit-motivated future is here. For-profit newsrooms and tech platforms will of course be part of this infrastructure, but there’s no need for them to be at the center.

I’ve been part of a group for the past five years that we more recently started calling FLN, for the Future of Local News. When it started, it was self-organized and very informal, but also a committed group of mostly women, mostly people of color running or serving local news organizations. We shared strategy and resources — even money. We tried to coordinate our messages about what high-quality and service-driven news and information can look like.

That group helped all of us, and so we’ve worked to keep growing it. We also started to formalize and break into working groups to build new programs and tools together, rather than just sharing the assets we already have as individual organizations. Early next year, we’ll make it official in some way, because we need more models of these peer-led communities of practice that help us learn faster, together, and make the most of our resources.

There are plenty of networks like this developing or growing all over the country, and there is room for plenty more. Some are locally based, like in Cleveland. There are coalitions changing practice together in places like Philadelphia. There are under-resourced but just as deserving networks across the South, where this liberation mindset comes from, as Cierra Brown Hinton has taught me. Some of these networks are more distributed, like the Documenters, URL Media, and the Tiny News Collective. Some are associations and intermediaries that could become networks as they lean further into collaboration and put power-building programs like Newsmatch on offer.

There is so much room and so much need for more of these networks. Over the next few years, we are also going to need to open them up to other community assets and information providers, like libraries or schools or groups of engaged citizens. We can find a way to work with these groups without compromising our ethics.

Building more resilient, more inclusive, and healthier civic information systems will of course take a lot more money, a lot more work, and policy change. But more than that, it requires culture change.

Each of us who thinks healthier civic information systems are essential for a healthier democracy and for more equitable communities needs to stop holding back. We all know we’re poised on a precipice where losing democracy and so much more is far too possible. We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world. I predict fewer of us will.

Sierra Sangetti-Daniels of City Bureau contributed to this prediction.

Sarah Alvarez is the founder and editor-in-chief of Outlier Media.

I made my first one of these predictions five years ago, and I’m sorry to say I pulled my punch back then.

When asked what I wanted to see in 2019, I wrote that I wanted those of us working in news to focus on the needs of our communities and redistribute our power. It’s a good practice, but even then it was far too weak of an ask. It’s certainly not enough now.

I didn’t hope back then for much more than a little change around the edges of the news industry. I was running a two-person local news project with a completely inadequate budget, and I was overly preoccupied by everyone else’s relative strengths. But budget size is not everything. In the past few years, so many local reporters have worked themselves to unprecedented levels of burnout, only to be laid off or have their newsrooms shuttered anyway. Outside of the success and growth of a few national brands like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, the for-profit giants of the past are failing too quickly and completely for the idea of a “news industry” to be anything but nostalgia.

In the years since that first prediction, many of us who work in local news have lost patience with looking backwards and are working instead to envision and help build healthy and resilient local civic information infrastructure. We are so far out of the gate that, regardless what anyone predicts on these pages or anywhere else, a more networked, more responsive, more representative, more resilient and less profit-motivated future is here. For-profit newsrooms and tech platforms will of course be part of this infrastructure, but there’s no need for them to be at the center.

I’ve been part of a group for the past five years that we more recently started calling FLN, for the Future of Local News. When it started, it was self-organized and very informal, but also a committed group of mostly women, mostly people of color running or serving local news organizations. We shared strategy and resources — even money. We tried to coordinate our messages about what high-quality and service-driven news and information can look like.

That group helped all of us, and so we’ve worked to keep growing it. We also started to formalize and break into working groups to build new programs and tools together, rather than just sharing the assets we already have as individual organizations. Early next year, we’ll make it official in some way, because we need more models of these peer-led communities of practice that help us learn faster, together, and make the most of our resources.

There are plenty of networks like this developing or growing all over the country, and there is room for plenty more. Some are locally based, like in Cleveland. There are coalitions changing practice together in places like Philadelphia. There are under-resourced but just as deserving networks across the South, where this liberation mindset comes from, as Cierra Brown Hinton has taught me. Some of these networks are more distributed, like the Documenters, URL Media, and the Tiny News Collective. Some are associations and intermediaries that could become networks as they lean further into collaboration and put power-building programs like Newsmatch on offer.

There is so much room and so much need for more of these networks. Over the next few years, we are also going to need to open them up to other community assets and information providers, like libraries or schools or groups of engaged citizens. We can find a way to work with these groups without compromising our ethics.

Building more resilient, more inclusive, and healthier civic information systems will of course take a lot more money, a lot more work, and policy change. But more than that, it requires culture change.

Each of us who thinks healthier civic information systems are essential for a healthier democracy and for more equitable communities needs to stop holding back. We all know we’re poised on a precipice where losing democracy and so much more is far too possible. We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world. I predict fewer of us will.

Sierra Sangetti-Daniels of City Bureau contributed to this prediction.

Sarah Alvarez is the founder and editor-in-chief of Outlier Media.

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Rodney Gibbs   Recalibrating how we work apart

Jonas Kaiser   Rejecting the “free speech” frame

Jesse Holcomb   Buffeted, whipped, bullied, pulled

Sue Cross   Thinking and acting collectively to save the news

Anita Varma   Journalism prioritizes the basic need for survival

Tamar Charney   Flux is the new stability

Leezel Tanglao   Community partnerships drive better reporting

Sue Robinson   Engagement journalism will have to confront a tougher reality

Masuma Ahuja   Journalism starts working for and with its communities

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Ariel Zirulnick   Journalism doubles down on user needs

Ståle Grut   Your newsroom experiences a Midjourney-gate, too

Anthony Nadler   Confronting media gerrymandering

Gina Chua   The traditional story structure gets deconstructed

Kerri Hoffman   Podcasting goes local

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Andrew Losowsky   Journalism realizes the replacement for Twitter is not a new Twitter

Janet Haven   ChatGPT and the future of trust 

Mar Cabra   The inevitable mental health revolution

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Susan Chira   Equipping local journalism

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Kavya Sukumar   Belling the cat: The rise of independent fact-checking at scale

Ayala Panievsky   It’s time for PR for journalism

Hillary Frey   Death to the labor-intensive memo for prospective hires

Doris Truong   Workers demand to be paid what the job is worth

Paul Cheung   More news organizations will realize they are in the business of impact, not eyeballs

Delano Massey   The industry shakes its imposter syndrome

Jacob L. Nelson   Despite it all, people will still want to be journalists

Al Lucca   Digital news design gets interesting again

Jaden Amos   TikTok personality journalists continue to rise

Lisa Heyamoto   The independent news industry gets a roadmap to sustainability

Jennifer Choi and Jonathan Jackson   Funders finally bet on next-generation news entrepreneurs

Nikki Usher   This is the year of the RSS reader. (Really!)

Ryan Kellett   Airline-like loyalty programs try to tie down news readers

Jim VandeHei   There is no “peak newsletter”

David Skok   Renewed interest in human-powered reporting

Alan Henry   A reckoning with why trust in news is so low

Anna Nirmala   News organizations get new structures

Nicholas Jackson   There will be launches — and we’ll keep doing the work

Joshua P. Darr   Local to live, wire to wither

Bill Adair   The year of the fact-check (no, really!)

Larry Ryckman   We’ll work together with our competitors

Tim Carmody   Newsletter writers need a new ethics

Eric Holthaus   As social media fragments, marginalized voices gain more power

Alex Perry   New paths to transparency without Twitter

A.J. Bauer   Covering the right wrong

Basile Simon   Towards supporting criminal accountability

Matt Rasnic   More newsroom workers turn to organized labor

Emily Nonko   Incarcerated reporters get more bylines

Sue Schardt   Toward a new poetics of journalism

Anika Anand   Independent news businesses lead the way on healthy work cultures

Joanne McNeil   Facebook and the media kiss and make up

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Michael Schudson   Journalism gets more and more difficult

Jody Brannon   We’ll embrace policy remedies

Raney Aronson-Rath   Journalists will band together to fight intimidation

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Sam Guzik   AI will start fact-checking. We may not like the results.

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Josh Schwartz   The AI spammers are coming

Kaitlyn Wells   We’ll prioritize media literacy for children

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AX Mina   Journalism in a time of permacrisis

Taylor Lorenz   The “creator economy” will be astroturfed

Kaitlin C. Miller   Harassment in journalism won’t get better, but we’ll talk about it more openly

Karina Montoya   More reporters on the antitrust beat

Tre'vell Anderson   Continued culpability in anti-trans campaigns

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Elite Truong   In platform collapse, an opportunity for community

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Eric Ulken   Generative AI brings wrongness at scale

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James Salanga   Journalists work from a place of harm reduction

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Kirstin McCudden   We’ll codify protection of journalism and newsgathering

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Andrew Donohue   We’ll find out whether journalism can, indeed, save democracy

Brian Stelter   Finding new ways to reach news avoiders

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David Cohn   AI made this prediction

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Sam Gregory   Synthetic media forces us to understand how media gets made

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Kathy Lu   We need emotionally agile newsroom leaders

Sarah Alvarez   Dream bigger or lose out

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Upasna Gautam   Technology that performs at the speed of news

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John Davidow   A year of intergenerational learning

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Gordon Crovitz   The year advertisers stop funding misinformation

Cindy Royal   Yes, journalists should learn to code, but…

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Jakob Moll   Journalism startups will think beyond English

Daniel Trielli   Trust in news will continue to fall. Just look at Brazil.

Sarah Stonbely   Growth in public funding for news and information at the state and local levels

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Jenna Weiss-Berman   The economic downturn benefits the podcasting industry. (No, really!)

Amethyst J. Davis   The slight of the great contraction

Ryan Nave   Citizen journalism, but make it equitable

Alexandra Svokos   Working harder to reach audiences where they are

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Victor Pickard   The year journalism and capitalism finally divorce

Ryan Gantz   “I’m sorry, but I’m a large language model”

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Emma Carew Grovum   The year to resist forgetting about diversity

Julia Angwin   Democracies will get serious about saving journalism

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