I made my first one of these predictions five years ago, and I’m sorry to say I pulled my punch back then.
When asked what I wanted to see in 2019, I wrote that I wanted those of us working in news to focus on the needs of our communities and redistribute our power. It’s a good practice, but even then it was far too weak of an ask. It’s certainly not enough now.
I didn’t hope back then for much more than a little change around the edges of the news industry. I was running a two-person local news project with a completely inadequate budget, and I was overly preoccupied by everyone else’s relative strengths. But budget size is not everything. In the past few years, so many local reporters have worked themselves to unprecedented levels of burnout, only to be laid off or have their newsrooms shuttered anyway. Outside of the success and growth of a few national brands like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, the for-profit giants of the past are failing too quickly and completely for the idea of a “news industry” to be anything but nostalgia.
In the years since that first prediction, many of us who work in local news have lost patience with looking backwards and are working instead to envision and help build healthy and resilient local civic information infrastructure. We are so far out of the gate that, regardless what anyone predicts on these pages or anywhere else, a more networked, more responsive, more representative, more resilient and less profit-motivated future is here. For-profit newsrooms and tech platforms will of course be part of this infrastructure, but there’s no need for them to be at the center.
I’ve been part of a group for the past five years that we more recently started calling FLN, for the Future of Local News. When it started, it was self-organized and very informal, but also a committed group of mostly women, mostly people of color running or serving local news organizations. We shared strategy and resources — even money. We tried to coordinate our messages about what high-quality and service-driven news and information can look like.
That group helped all of us, and so we’ve worked to keep growing it. We also started to formalize and break into working groups to build new programs and tools together, rather than just sharing the assets we already have as individual organizations. Early next year, we’ll make it official in some way, because we need more models of these peer-led communities of practice that help us learn faster, together, and make the most of our resources.
There are plenty of networks like this developing or growing all over the country, and there is room for plenty more. Some are locally based, like in Cleveland. There are coalitions changing practice together in places like Philadelphia. There are under-resourced but just as deserving networks across the South, where this liberation mindset comes from, as Cierra Brown Hinton has taught me. Some of these networks are more distributed, like the Documenters, URL Media, and the Tiny News Collective. Some are associations and intermediaries that could become networks as they lean further into collaboration and put power-building programs like Newsmatch on offer.
There is so much room and so much need for more of these networks. Over the next few years, we are also going to need to open them up to other community assets and information providers, like libraries or schools or groups of engaged citizens. We can find a way to work with these groups without compromising our ethics.
Building more resilient, more inclusive, and healthier civic information systems will of course take a lot more money, a lot more work, and policy change. But more than that, it requires culture change.
Each of us who thinks healthier civic information systems are essential for a healthier democracy and for more equitable communities needs to stop holding back. We all know we’re poised on a precipice where losing democracy and so much more is far too possible. We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world. I predict fewer of us will.
Sierra Sangetti-Daniels of City Bureau contributed to this prediction.
Sarah Alvarez is the founder and editor-in-chief of Outlier Media.
I made my first one of these predictions five years ago, and I’m sorry to say I pulled my punch back then.
When asked what I wanted to see in 2019, I wrote that I wanted those of us working in news to focus on the needs of our communities and redistribute our power. It’s a good practice, but even then it was far too weak of an ask. It’s certainly not enough now.
I didn’t hope back then for much more than a little change around the edges of the news industry. I was running a two-person local news project with a completely inadequate budget, and I was overly preoccupied by everyone else’s relative strengths. But budget size is not everything. In the past few years, so many local reporters have worked themselves to unprecedented levels of burnout, only to be laid off or have their newsrooms shuttered anyway. Outside of the success and growth of a few national brands like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, the for-profit giants of the past are failing too quickly and completely for the idea of a “news industry” to be anything but nostalgia.
In the years since that first prediction, many of us who work in local news have lost patience with looking backwards and are working instead to envision and help build healthy and resilient local civic information infrastructure. We are so far out of the gate that, regardless what anyone predicts on these pages or anywhere else, a more networked, more responsive, more representative, more resilient and less profit-motivated future is here. For-profit newsrooms and tech platforms will of course be part of this infrastructure, but there’s no need for them to be at the center.
I’ve been part of a group for the past five years that we more recently started calling FLN, for the Future of Local News. When it started, it was self-organized and very informal, but also a committed group of mostly women, mostly people of color running or serving local news organizations. We shared strategy and resources — even money. We tried to coordinate our messages about what high-quality and service-driven news and information can look like.
That group helped all of us, and so we’ve worked to keep growing it. We also started to formalize and break into working groups to build new programs and tools together, rather than just sharing the assets we already have as individual organizations. Early next year, we’ll make it official in some way, because we need more models of these peer-led communities of practice that help us learn faster, together, and make the most of our resources.
There are plenty of networks like this developing or growing all over the country, and there is room for plenty more. Some are locally based, like in Cleveland. There are coalitions changing practice together in places like Philadelphia. There are under-resourced but just as deserving networks across the South, where this liberation mindset comes from, as Cierra Brown Hinton has taught me. Some of these networks are more distributed, like the Documenters, URL Media, and the Tiny News Collective. Some are associations and intermediaries that could become networks as they lean further into collaboration and put power-building programs like Newsmatch on offer.
There is so much room and so much need for more of these networks. Over the next few years, we are also going to need to open them up to other community assets and information providers, like libraries or schools or groups of engaged citizens. We can find a way to work with these groups without compromising our ethics.
Building more resilient, more inclusive, and healthier civic information systems will of course take a lot more money, a lot more work, and policy change. But more than that, it requires culture change.
Each of us who thinks healthier civic information systems are essential for a healthier democracy and for more equitable communities needs to stop holding back. We all know we’re poised on a precipice where losing democracy and so much more is far too possible. We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world. I predict fewer of us will.
Sierra Sangetti-Daniels of City Bureau contributed to this prediction.
Sarah Alvarez is the founder and editor-in-chief of Outlier Media.
Parker Molloy We’ll reach new heights of moral panic
Shanté Cosme The answer to “quiet quitting” is radical empathy
Wilson Liévano Diaspora journalism takes the next step
Rodney Gibbs Recalibrating how we work apart
Jonas Kaiser Rejecting the “free speech” frame
Jesse Holcomb Buffeted, whipped, bullied, pulled
Sue Cross Thinking and acting collectively to save the news
Anita Varma Journalism prioritizes the basic need for survival
Tamar Charney Flux is the new stability
Leezel Tanglao Community partnerships drive better reporting
Sue Robinson Engagement journalism will have to confront a tougher reality
Masuma Ahuja Journalism starts working for and with its communities
Christoph Mergerson The rot at the core of the news business
Danielle K. Brown and Kathleen Searles DEI efforts must consider mental health and online abuse
Jessica Maddox Journalists keep getting manipulated by internet culture
Ariel Zirulnick Journalism doubles down on user needs
Ståle Grut Your newsroom experiences a Midjourney-gate, too
Anthony Nadler Confronting media gerrymandering
Gina Chua The traditional story structure gets deconstructed
Kerri Hoffman Podcasting goes local
Felicitas Carrique and Becca Aaronson News product goes from trend to standard
Andrew Losowsky Journalism realizes the replacement for Twitter is not a new Twitter
Janet Haven ChatGPT and the future of trust
Mar Cabra The inevitable mental health revolution
Nicholas Diakopoulos Journalists productively harness generative AI tools
Jessica Clark Open discourse retrenches
Molly de Aguiar and Mandy Van Deven Narrative change trend brings new money to journalism
Mael Vallejo More threats to press freedom across the Americas
Mario García More newsrooms go mobile-first
Eric Nuzum A focus on people instead of power
Susan Chira Equipping local journalism
Michael W. Wagner The backlash against pro-democracy reporting is coming
Kavya Sukumar Belling the cat: The rise of independent fact-checking at scale
Ayala Panievsky It’s time for PR for journalism
Hillary Frey Death to the labor-intensive memo for prospective hires
Doris Truong Workers demand to be paid what the job is worth
Paul Cheung More news organizations will realize they are in the business of impact, not eyeballs
Delano Massey The industry shakes its imposter syndrome
Jacob L. Nelson Despite it all, people will still want to be journalists
Al Lucca Digital news design gets interesting again
Jaden Amos TikTok personality journalists continue to rise
Lisa Heyamoto The independent news industry gets a roadmap to sustainability
Jennifer Choi and Jonathan Jackson Funders finally bet on next-generation news entrepreneurs
Nikki Usher This is the year of the RSS reader. (Really!)
Ryan Kellett Airline-like loyalty programs try to tie down news readers
Jim VandeHei There is no “peak newsletter”
David Skok Renewed interest in human-powered reporting
Alan Henry A reckoning with why trust in news is so low
Anna Nirmala News organizations get new structures
Nicholas Jackson There will be launches — and we’ll keep doing the work
Joshua P. Darr Local to live, wire to wither
Bill Adair The year of the fact-check (no, really!)
Larry Ryckman We’ll work together with our competitors
Tim Carmody Newsletter writers need a new ethics
Eric Holthaus As social media fragments, marginalized voices gain more power
Alex Perry New paths to transparency without Twitter
A.J. Bauer Covering the right wrong
Basile Simon Towards supporting criminal accountability
Matt Rasnic More newsroom workers turn to organized labor
Emily Nonko Incarcerated reporters get more bylines
Sue Schardt Toward a new poetics of journalism
Anika Anand Independent news businesses lead the way on healthy work cultures
Joanne McNeil Facebook and the media kiss and make up
Dannagal G. Young Stop rewarding elite performances of identity threat
Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau More of the same
Laura E. Davis The year we embrace the robots — and ourselves
Michael Schudson Journalism gets more and more difficult
Jody Brannon We’ll embrace policy remedies
Raney Aronson-Rath Journalists will band together to fight intimidation
Errin Haines Journalists on the campaign trail mend trust with the public
Don Day The news about the news is bad. I’m optimistic.
Eric Thurm Journalists think of themselves as workers
Snigdha Sur Newsrooms get nimble in a recession
Amy Schmitz Weiss Journalism education faces a crossroads
Sam Guzik AI will start fact-checking. We may not like the results.
Martina Efeyini Talk to Gen Z. They’re the experts of Gen Z.
Josh Schwartz The AI spammers are coming
Kaitlyn Wells We’ll prioritize media literacy for children
Mauricio Cabrera It’s no longer about audiences, it’s about communities
AX Mina Journalism in a time of permacrisis
Taylor Lorenz The “creator economy” will be astroturfed
Kaitlin C. Miller Harassment in journalism won’t get better, but we’ll talk about it more openly
Karina Montoya More reporters on the antitrust beat
Tre'vell Anderson Continued culpability in anti-trans campaigns
Burt Herman The year AI truly arrives — and with it the reckoning
Barbara Raab More journalism funders will take more risks
Elite Truong In platform collapse, an opportunity for community
Laxmi Parthasarathy Unlocking the silent demand for international journalism
Eric Ulken Generative AI brings wrongness at scale
Pia Frey Publishers start polling their users at scale
James Salanga Journalists work from a place of harm reduction
Stefanie Murray The year U.S. media stops screwing around and becomes pro-democracy
Cassandra Etienne Local news fellowships will help fight newsroom inequities
Sarabeth Berman Nonprofit local news shows that it can scale
S. Mitra Kalita “Everything sucks. Good luck to you.”
Brian Moritz Rebuilding the news bundle
Cari Nazeer and Emily Goligoski News organizations step up their support for caregivers
Christina Shih Shared values move from nice-to-haves to essentials
Kirstin McCudden We’ll codify protection of journalism and newsgathering
Joe Amditis AI throws a lifeline to local publishers
Andrew Donohue We’ll find out whether journalism can, indeed, save democracy
Brian Stelter Finding new ways to reach news avoiders
Johannes Klingebiel The innovation team, R.I.P.
David Cohn AI made this prediction
Alex Sujong Laughlin Credit where it’s due
Sam Gregory Synthetic media forces us to understand how media gets made
Nicholas Thompson The year AI actually changes the media business
Zizi Papacharissi Platforms are over
Kathy Lu We need emotionally agile newsroom leaders
Sarah Alvarez Dream bigger or lose out
Khushbu Shah Global reporting will suffer
J. Siguru Wahutu American journalism reckons with its colonialist tendencies
Dominic-Madori Davis Everyone finally realizes the need for diverse voices in tech reporting
Peter Sterne AI enters the newsroom
Julia Beizer News fatigue shows us a clear path forward
Upasna Gautam Technology that performs at the speed of news
Jim Friedlich Local journalism steps up to the challenge of civic coverage
Sarah Marshall A web channel strategy won’t be enough
Esther Kezia Thorpe Subscription pressures force product innovation
Ben Werdmuller The internet is up for grabs again
Surya Mattu Data journalists learn from photojournalists
Juleyka Lantigua Newsrooms recognize women of color as the canaries in the coal mine
Valérie Bélair-Gagnon Well-being will become a core tenet of journalism
Gabe Schneider Well-funded journalism leaders stop making disparate pay
Cory Bergman The AI content flood
Alexandra Borchardt The year of the climate journalism strategy
John Davidow A year of intergenerational learning
Peter Bale Rising costs force more digital innovation
Joni Deutsch Podcast collaboration — not competition — breeds excellence
Gordon Crovitz The year advertisers stop funding misinformation
Cindy Royal Yes, journalists should learn to code, but…
Mary Walter-Brown and Tristan Loper Mission-driven metrics become our North Star
Priyanjana Bengani Partisan local news networks will collaborate
Jakob Moll Journalism startups will think beyond English
Daniel Trielli Trust in news will continue to fall. Just look at Brazil.
Sarah Stonbely Growth in public funding for news and information at the state and local levels
Jarrad Henderson Video editing will help people understand the media they consume
Simon Galperin Philanthropy stops investing in corporate media
Jenna Weiss-Berman The economic downturn benefits the podcasting industry. (No, really!)
Amethyst J. Davis The slight of the great contraction
Ryan Nave Citizen journalism, but make it equitable
Alexandra Svokos Working harder to reach audiences where they are
Jennifer Brandel AI couldn’t care less. Journalists will care more.
Francesco Zaffarano There is no end of “social media”
Victor Pickard The year journalism and capitalism finally divorce
Ryan Gantz “I’m sorry, but I’m a large language model”
Moreno Cruz Osório Brazilian journalism turns wounds into action
Emma Carew Grovum The year to resist forgetting about diversity
Julia Angwin Democracies will get serious about saving journalism
Megan Lucero and Shirish Kulkarni The future of journalism is not you
Mariana Moura Santos A woman who speaks is a woman who changes the world
Bill Grueskin Local news will come to rely on AI
Dana Lacey Tech will screw publishers over
Walter Frick Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets
Richard Tofel The press might get better at vetting presidential candidates
Sumi Aggarwal Smart newsrooms will prioritize board development
Rachel Glickhouse Humanizing newsrooms will be a badge of honor