FiveThirtyEight | Nieman Journalism Lab

Articles tagged FiveThirtyEight (55)

Sarah Scire and Laura Hazard OwenApril 25, 2023

Disney is shrinking FiveThirtyEight, and Nate Silver (and his models) are leaving

Silver on ABC: “They have limited rights to some models post–license term, but not the core election forecast stuff.”

Nicholas DiakopoulosNovember 8, 2022

There’s a 68 in 100 chance you’ll read this article about the audience for FiveThirtyEight-style election predictions

In other words, the odds are pretty good — but it’s far from a lock.

Michael SchulsonNovember 9, 2020

Did the polls fail again? It’s complicated.

Forecasts once again substantially underestimated the extent of support for Trump. But does that mean they failed?

To cover voting and all its “subplots” over the next three weeks, FiveThirtyEight turns to a “slower-than-usual liveblog”

Joshua BentonOctober 7, 2020

Should news outlets stop making election forecasts based on polling data?

There’s good evidence that some people find predictive models like FiveThirtyEight’s confusing, and an argument that they might keep people from voting. But 2016’s scars shouldn’t mean that voters have to be kept in the dark.

Joshua BentonJuly 28, 2020

This is how FiveThirtyEight is trying to build the right amount of uncertainty into its 2020 election data analysis

Our analysis finds a 99 percent chance someone will still complain about it.

Christine SchmidtJune 28, 2018

More than a magic electoral map: How Politico plans its (open source) Slack chats during the midterms

It’s like the readers going to a watch party or trivia event, but with less effort — perhaps literally by staying at home.

Nicholas QuahFebruary 13, 2018

Today, Explained, explained: Vox enters the daily news podcast race with a comma-happy, personality-driven show

Plus: HBO buys in, ESPN brags condescendingly, big networks scale back, and Call Your Girlfriend plots its future. Also, gifs.

Nicholas QuahJanuary 30, 2018

Turns out people really like podcasts after all (and now we have numbers to prove it)

Plus: PRX expands, WNYC shuffles, NPR stagnates, Dirty John adapts, Macmillan strategizes, and Gimlet parties.

Nicholas QuahAugust 22, 2017

The daily podcaster’s choice: Try to fit in listeners’ crowded mornings or tackle the evening commute?

Plus: Radiotopia’s Millennial comes to a close, another podcast-to-TV adaptation, and reaching the growing audience of young, middle-class Latinos.

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